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Freiberg vs Germania Friedrichstal

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Freiberg in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freiberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Freiberg
35%
Draws
20%
Germania Friedrichstal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Freiberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Germania Friedrichstal haven't matched Freiberg's recent run of results.
  • Freiberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 12%
Germania Friedrichstal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiberg Germania Friedrichstal
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.19 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2019 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Germania Friedrichstal vs Freiberg
4:2
Nov 24, 2018 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiberg vs Germania Friedrichstal
6:2
Mar 13, 2016 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Germania Friedrichstal vs Freiberg
2:1
Aug 29, 2015 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiberg vs Germania Friedrichstal
1:1
May 1, 2015 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Germania Friedrichstal vs Freiberg
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiberg 83 / 100
Germania Friedrichstal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiberg Germania Friedrichstal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiberg's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Germania Friedrichstal conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Solid form: Freiberg remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Freiberg VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiberg

(Home)
26 Sept
Freiberg
2 : 2
Stutt. Kickers
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3
Freiberg
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0
Freiberg
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4
Freiberg
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Germania Friedrichstal

(Away)
24 May
Germania Friedrichstal
4 : 2
Freiberg
18 May
Goppinger
4 : 1
Germania Friedrichstal
11 May
Backnang
2 : 1
Germania Friedrichstal
05 May
Germania Friedrichstal
2 : 2
Oberachern
01 May
Linx
3 : 0
Germania Friedrichstal
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