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Freiburg II vs Bahlinger Prediction & H2H Stats

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Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Fetsch M.
20' Event
Amegnaglo D.
54' Event
Fetsch M.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 game between Freiburg II and Bahlinger finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freiburg II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Freiburg II
35%
Draws
38%
Bahlinger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bahlinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Freiburg II come out ahead of Bahlinger on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Freiburg II Clean Sheet 17%
Bahlinger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg II Bahlinger
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.14 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs Bahlinger
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Bahlinger vs Freiburg II
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Bahlinger vs Freiburg II
3:3
Sep 20, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs Bahlinger
4:0
Mar 6, 2021 Regionalliga Sudwest
Bahlinger vs Freiburg II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiburg II Compare

Top Goalscorer Fetsch M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Amegnaglo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bahlinger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg II 36 / 100
Bahlinger 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg II Bahlinger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahlinger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiburg II scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Bahlinger let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Freiburg II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg II VS Bahlinger
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg II

(Home)
19 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 3
Freiburg II
11 Sept
Freiburg II
1 : 2
Sandhausen
08 Sept
Eintracht Trier
0 : 0
Freiburg II
05 Sept
Freiburg II
4 : 3
TSV Steinbach Haiger
30 Aug
Freiburg II
0 : 0
VfR Mannheim
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Bahlinger

(Away)
26 Sept
Bahlinger
2 : 0
FC Normannia Gmund
19 Sept
Reutlingen
1 : 1
Bahlinger
12 Sept
Bahlinger
3 : 3
FC 08 Villingen
09 Sept
FC Nottingen
0 : 1
Bahlinger
05 Sept
Bahlinger
2 : 1
Teningen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 20 8 6 86:43 68
2 Freiberg 34 18 8 8 68:38 62
3 FSV Frankfurt 34 16 9 9 64:48 57
4 FC 08 Homburg 34 15 11 8 71:42 56
5 TSV Steinbach Haiger 34 16 8 10 78:58 56
6 Kassel 34 15 9 10 62:51 54
7 Stutt. Kickers 34 17 3 14 51:44 54
8 Sandhausen 34 16 6 12 53:56 54
9 Mainz II 34 14 11 9 52:45 53
10 Fulda-Lehnerz 34 13 10 11 51:44 49
11 Freiburg II 34 14 6 14 74:73 48
12 Astoria Walldorf 34 13 8 13 64:65 47
13 Eintracht Trier 34 13 8 13 48:52 47
14 Kickers Offenbach 34 11 10 13 57:58 43
15 Alzenau 34 7 6 21 45:74 27
16 Schott Mainz 34 7 4 23 40:83 25
17 Balingen 34 6 7 21 38:87 25
18 Bahlinger 34 4 10 20 34:75 22
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)