Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Freiburg II vs Kassel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Damer L.
14' Event
Rudlin F.
16' Event
Mijajlovic M.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest game between Freiburg II and Kassel finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freiburg II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Freiburg II
20%
Draws
29%
Kassel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Freiburg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Freiburg II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Freiburg II are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Freiburg II Clean Sheet 12%
Kassel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg II Kassel
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.07 2
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs Kassel
5:1
Apr 18, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kassel vs Freiburg II
2:3
Oct 11, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs Kassel
1:3
Dec 1, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs Kassel
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kassel vs Freiburg II
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiburg II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rudlin F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mijajlovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kassel Compare

Top Goalscorer Damer L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg II 74 / 100
Kassel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg II Kassel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiburg II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiburg II's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kassel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Freiburg II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg II VS Kassel
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg II

(Home)
23 Oct
Kaiserslautern II
2 : 2
Freiburg II
18 Oct
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 1
Freiburg II
11 Oct
Freiburg II
1 : 2
Freiberg
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2
Freiburg II
19 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 3
Freiburg II
Page 1 of 6

Kassel

(Away)
24 Oct
Astoria Walldorf
4 : 1
Kassel
17 Oct
Kassel
0 : 3
VfR Mannheim
10 Oct
Kaiserslautern II
2 : 3
Kassel
03 Oct
Kassel
2 : 2
Ulm
26 Sept
Kassel
1 : 2
Mainz II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiberg 13 7 6 0 32:13 27
2 Aalen 13 8 3 2 23:11 27
3 VfR Mannheim 13 7 5 1 22:9 26
4 Stutt. Kickers 13 7 2 4 22:18 23
5 Eintracht Trier 13 7 1 5 16:17 22
6 Kickers Offenbach 13 6 3 4 23:17 21
7 FC 08 Homburg 13 5 5 3 18:17 20
8 Sandhausen 13 5 4 4 20:22 19
9 Freiburg II 12 4 5 3 22:17 17
10 TSV Steinbach Haiger 13 4 4 5 20:20 16
11 Eintracht Frankfurt II 12 5 1 6 15:16 16
12 Kassel 13 4 2 7 21:28 14
13 Astoria Walldorf 13 3 4 6 20:22 13
14 FSV Frankfurt 13 3 4 6 20:23 13
15 Kaiserslautern II 13 2 5 6 14:27 11
16 Mainz II 13 3 2 8 13:26 11
17 Ulm 13 1 7 5 16:23 10
18 Fulda-Lehnerz 13 2 3 8 17:28 9
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)