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Freiburg vs B. Monchengladbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Kleindienst T.
14'
Diks K.
23' Event
Engelhardt Y.
Assist: Scherhant D.

AI Match Summary

Freiburg in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freiburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Freiburg
20%
Draws
19%
B. Monchengladbach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Freiburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • B. Monchengladbach haven't matched Freiburg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Freiburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • Freiburg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 10%
B. Monchengladbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg B. Monchengladbach
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.41 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs B. Monchengladbach
5:0
Feb 22, 2026 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs B. Monchengladbach
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Freiburg
0:0
Apr 12, 2025 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Freiburg
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs B. Monchengladbach
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Engelhardt Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Matanovic I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

B. Monchengladbach Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg 83 / 100
B. Monchengladbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg B. Monchengladbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiburg found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Freiburg remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

B. Monchengladbach has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg VS B. Monchengladbach
3.38 Goals Scored 3
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg

(Home)
03 Oct
Freiburg
4 : 2
Luzern
19 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2
Freiburg
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1
Freiburg
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1
Werder Bremen
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B. Monchengladbach

(Away)
03 Oct
St. Pauli
1 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
24 Sept
Siegen
0 : 3
B. Monchengladbach
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Mainz
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
3 Freiburg 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
4 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
5 Bayer Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 Mainz 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
7 Elversberg 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
8 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 2 0 2 9:5 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 9:10 5
11 Schalke 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Paderborn 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
13 1. FC Koln 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 6:9 3
16 Hamburger 4 1 0 3 2:13 3
17 Union Berlin 4 0 1 3 4:17 1
18 B. Monchengladbach 4 0 0 4 6:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)