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Freiburg vs Greuther Furth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Klaus F.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Klaus F.
61' Event
Sillah O.

AI Match Summary

Greuther Furth in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greuther Furth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Freiburg
15%
Draws
34%
Greuther Furth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Freiburg lately — more wins on the board than Greuther Furth.
  • Model gives Freiburg a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 20%
Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg Greuther Furth
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Freiburg vs Greuther Furth
0:3
Jul 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Freiburg vs Greuther Furth
2:2
Mar 19, 2022 Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Freiburg
0:0
Oct 30, 2021 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Greuther Furth
3:1
Apr 4, 2016 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Freiburg
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Greuther Furth Compare

Top Goalscorer Klaus F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sillah O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg 40 / 100
Greuther Furth 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg Greuther Furth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiburg's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Greuther Furth has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Greuther Furth's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg VS Greuther Furth
2.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg

(Home)
25 Oct
Freiburg
1 : 3
Bayern Munich
22 Oct
Monaco
3 : 0
Freiburg
18 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1
Freiburg
15 Oct
Freiburg
3 : 2
Jablonec
11 Oct
Freiburg
2 : 1
Schalke
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Greuther Furth

(Away)
25 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
3 : 0
Greuther Furth
17 Oct
Greuther Furth
2 : 0
Braunschweig
11 Oct
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Greuther Furth
01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0
Greuther Furth
18 Sept
Greuther Furth
1 : 1
Magdeburg
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