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Freiburg vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Europa-Park Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Lederman B.
63'
Sub
Jehezkel S. In: Varela H.
Out: Jehezkel S.
63'
Sub
Peretz D. In: Andrade K.
Out: Peretz D.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Freiburg and Maccabi Tel Aviv finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freiburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Freiburg
40%
Draws
29%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 11%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg Maccabi Tel Aviv
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.57 2
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Europa League
Freiburg vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Matanovic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Maccabi Tel Aviv Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg 30 / 100
Maccabi Tel Aviv 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg Maccabi Tel Aviv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Freiburg scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Maccabi Tel Aviv conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Freiburg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg VS Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.57 Goals Scored 2
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221