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Freiburg vs Wolfsburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the DFB Pokal. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Freiburg at 2.13 goals for, 1.32 against; Wolfsburg at 2.03 for, 1.66 against. Head-to-head, Freiburg have won 3 to Wolfsburg's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 2.13) point toward Freiburg. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Freiburg
20%
Draws
40%
Wolfsburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Freiburg lately — more wins on the board than Wolfsburg.
  • Wolfsburg are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Freiburg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wolfsburg, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 10%
Wolfsburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg Wolfsburg
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.13 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Freiburg
3:4
Apr 26, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Freiburg
0:1
Dec 13, 2024 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg
3:2
Apr 27, 2024 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg 14 / 100
Wolfsburg 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg Wolfsburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wolfsburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiburg found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Wolfsburg has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Freiburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg VS Wolfsburg
3.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg

(Home)
18 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1
Freiburg
15 Oct
Freiburg
3 : 2
Jablonec
11 Oct
Freiburg
2 : 1
Schalke
03 Oct
Freiburg
4 : 2
Luzern
19 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2
Freiburg
Page 1 of 7

Wolfsburg

(Away)
17 Oct
Wolfsburg
3 : 1
Heidenheim
10 Oct
Nurnberg
4 : 4
Wolfsburg
01 Oct
Wolfsburg
4 : 1
TSV Havelse
18 Sept
Wolfsburg
5 : 1
Darmstadt
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0
Wolfsburg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3
Arminia Bielefeld 2
Energie Cottbus 0
Augsburg 2
Jeddeloh 5
Heidenheim 2
Saarbrucken 1
Hertha Berlin 2
RW Essen 2
St. Pauli 0
Eintracht Trier 0
RB Leipzig 6
Wurzburger Kickers 1
1. FC Koln 2
Braunschweig 2
Union Berlin 4
Westfalia Rhynern 0
Dresden 6
Hallescher 2
Schalke 5
HEBC Hamburg 0
Dortmund 5
Luneburger Hansa 0
Werder Bremen 3
Greuther Furth 1
Bochum 2
Krieschow 0
Mainz 9
Verl 0
Hamburger 3
SC St.Tonis 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 11
Schott Mainz 0
B. Monchengladbach 5
Preussen Munster 1
Karlsruher 2
Munich 1860 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Aue 0
Hoffenheim 4
Wehen 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Nurnberg 2
Hemelingen 1
Hannover 9
Mannheim 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Phonix Lubeck 2
Paderborn 4
Hansa Rostock 0
VfB Stuttgart 4
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 5
Altglienicke 3
Wolfsburg 4
Duisburg 1
Elversberg 3
Jena 1
Darmstadt 2
VfL Osnabruck 1
Bayern Munich 4
Bahlinger 0
Magdeburg 4
1/16-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach -
Augsburg -
Jeddeloh -
Hertha Berlin -
RW Essen -
RB Leipzig -
1. FC Koln -
Union Berlin -
Dresden -
Schalke -
Dortmund -
Werder Bremen -
Bochum -
Mainz -
Hamburger -
Eintracht Frankfurt -
B. Monchengladbach -
Karlsruher -
Holstein Kiel -
Hoffenheim -
Bayer Leverkusen -
Nurnberg -
Hannover -
Kaiserslautern -
Paderborn -
VfB Stuttgart -
Freiburg -
Wolfsburg -
Elversberg -
Darmstadt -
Bayern Munich -
Magdeburg -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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