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Freiburg W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Dreisamstadion, Freiburg
Freiburg W Logo

Freiburg W

2 - 1
FT
1.FC Nurnberg W Logo

1.FC Nurnberg W

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Ojukwu N.
Assist: Kolb L.
46'
Sub
Pollak J. In: Homann S.
Out: Pollak J.
64'
Sub
Kolb L. In: Nachtigall S.
Out: Kolb L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Freiburg W in this Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freiburg W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Freiburg W
20%
Draws
29%
1.FC Nurnberg W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Freiburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Freiburg W lately — more wins on the board than 1.FC Nurnberg W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 20%
1.FC Nurnberg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg W 1.FC Nurnberg W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.72 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Freiburg W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
2:1
Mar 13, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Bundesliga Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Freiburg W
3:2
Sep 7, 2024 DFB Pokal Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Freiburg W
1:2
Mar 17, 2024 Bundesliga Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Freiburg W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojukwu N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

1.FC Nurnberg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg W 32 / 100
1.FC Nurnberg W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg W 1.FC Nurnberg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1.FC Nurnberg W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiburg W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

1.FC Nurnberg W let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Freiburg W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg W VS 1.FC Nurnberg W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg W

(Home)
26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2
Freiburg W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1
Freiburg W
29 Aug
Freiburg W
1 : 0
Union Berlin W
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1.FC Nurnberg W

(Away)
27 Sept
Buntentor W
0 : 10
1.FC Nurnberg W
20 Sept
Hamburger W
5 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
12 Sept
RB Leipzig W
2 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
06 Sept
1.FC Nurnberg W
3 : 3
VfB Stuttgart W
30 Aug
Eintracht Frankfurt W
1 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 90:9 74
2 Wolfsburg W 26 18 4 4 72:38 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 16 3 7 65:43 51
4 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46:36 46
6 Werder Bremen W 26 12 7 7 42:36 43
7 Koln W 26 11 4 11 36:37 37
8 Freiburg W 26 10 4 12 44:46 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 42:51 30
10 RB Leipzig W 26 7 7 12 39:48 28
11 1.FC Nurnberg W 26 6 4 16 33:61 22
12 Hamburger W 26 4 6 16 26:57 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 22:63 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 22:72 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)