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Freiburg W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Dreisamstadion, Freiburg
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Birkholz L. E.
Assist: Schneider M.
46'
Sub
Maas M. In: Stegemann G.
Out: Maas M.
56'
Sub
Strasser F. In: Schmid S.
Out: Strasser F.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Freiburg W and Carl Zeiss Jena W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freiburg W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Freiburg W
15%
Draws
34%
Carl Zeiss Jena W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Freiburg W come out ahead of Carl Zeiss Jena W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Carl Zeiss Jena W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Freiburg W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 16%
Carl Zeiss Jena W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg W Carl Zeiss Jena W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.9 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Carl Zeiss Jena W vs Freiburg W
1:5
Nov 22, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W
3:0
Mar 5, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Carl Zeiss Jena W vs Freiburg W
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W
1:1
Feb 28, 2023 DFB Pokal Women
Carl Zeiss Jena W vs Freiburg W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Birkholz L. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vobian S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Carl Zeiss Jena W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg W 23 / 100
Carl Zeiss Jena W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg W Carl Zeiss Jena W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carl Zeiss Jena W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiburg W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Carl Zeiss Jena W let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Freiburg W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg W VS Carl Zeiss Jena W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg W

(Home)
03 Oct
Koln W
0 : 1
Freiburg W
26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2
Freiburg W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1
Freiburg W
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Carl Zeiss Jena W

(Away)
04 Oct
Carl Zeiss Jena W
0 : 1
SC Sand W
26 Sept
Eutingen W
0 : 6
Carl Zeiss Jena W
20 Sept
Andernach W
2 : 1
Carl Zeiss Jena W
13 Sept
Carl Zeiss Jena W
4 : 1
Hoffenheim II W
06 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt II W
1 : 0
Carl Zeiss Jena W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 90:9 74
2 Wolfsburg W 26 18 4 4 72:38 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 16 3 7 65:43 51
4 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46:36 46
6 Werder Bremen W 26 12 7 7 42:36 43
7 Koln W 26 11 4 11 36:37 37
8 Freiburg W 26 10 4 12 44:46 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 42:51 30
10 RB Leipzig W 26 7 7 12 39:48 28
11 1.FC Nurnberg W 26 6 4 16 33:61 22
12 Hamburger W 26 4 6 16 26:57 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 22:63 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 22:72 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)