Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Freiburg W vs Union Berlin W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Dreisamstadion, Freiburg
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Weiss A.
15' Event
Weiss A.
46'
Sub
Reissner N. In: Eurlings H.
Out: Reissner N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Freiburg W
15%
Draws
26%
Union Berlin W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Freiburg W lately — more wins on the board than Union Berlin W.
  • Model gives Freiburg W a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Freiburg W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 19%
Union Berlin W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg W Union Berlin W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.69 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Union Berlin W
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Union Berlin W
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs Freiburg W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Folmli S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Union Berlin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Weiss A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg W 85 / 100
Union Berlin W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg W Union Berlin W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiburg W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Berlin W let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Freiburg W scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Freiburg W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg W VS Union Berlin W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg W

(Home)
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1
Freiburg W
29 Aug
Freiburg W
1 : 0
Union Berlin W
23 Aug
Hamburger W
1 : 1
Freiburg W
Page 1 of 6

Union Berlin W

(Away)
20 Sept
Union Berlin W
3 : 2
RB Leipzig W
12 Sept
Koln W
3 : 0
Union Berlin W
07 Sept
Union Berlin W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
29 Aug
Freiburg W
1 : 0
Union Berlin W
21 Aug
Union Berlin W
1 : 4
Bayern Munich W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 90:9 74
2 Wolfsburg W 26 18 4 4 72:38 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 16 3 7 65:43 51
4 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46:36 46
6 Werder Bremen W 26 12 7 7 42:36 43
7 Koln W 26 11 4 11 36:37 37
8 Freiburg W 26 10 4 12 44:46 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 42:51 30
10 RB Leipzig W 26 7 7 12 39:48 28
11 1.FC Nurnberg W 26 6 4 16 33:61 22
12 Hamburger W 26 4 6 16 26:57 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 22:63 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 22:72 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)