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Freienbach vs Baden

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 game between Freienbach and Baden finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Freienbach
30%
Draws
47%
Baden
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baden come out ahead of Freienbach on wins alone.
  • Freienbach are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Freienbach Clean Sheet 15%
Baden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freienbach Baden
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.6 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Baden
2:2
May 20, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Baden
3:0
Nov 16, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Freienbach
3:3
Nov 27, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Baden
3:2
Aug 21, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Freienbach
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freienbach 48 / 100
Baden 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freienbach Baden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freienbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baden let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Freienbach found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Freienbach remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Freienbach VS Baden
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Freienbach

(Home)
23 Aug
Thalwil
3 : 0
Freienbach
14 Aug
Freienbach
2 : 2
Baden
09 Aug
Gossau
0 : 0
Freienbach
24 Jun
Freienbach
1 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
30 May
SV Schaffhausen
1 : 3
Freienbach
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Baden

(Away)
22 Aug
Baden
3 : 1
Eschen/Mauren
14 Aug
Freienbach
2 : 2
Baden
08 Aug
Baden
2 : 1
Winterthur II
31 Jul
Baden
2 : 0
Gossau
25 Jul
Baden
1 : 2
FC Kreuzlingen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuggen 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Baden 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 St. Gallen II 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
4 Thalwil 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
5 Dietikon 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
6 Kosova 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
7 Taverne 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
8 Gossau 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
9 Winterthur II 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
10 Mendrisio 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
11 Eschen/Mauren 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
12 Wettswil-Bonstetten 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Collina d'Oro 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
14 Freienbach 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
15 FC Widnau 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
16 Locarno 3 0 0 3 4:7 0
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)