Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Freital vs Eilenburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eilenburg in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eilenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Freital
30%
Draws
47%
Eilenburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eilenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Freital lately — more wins on the board than Eilenburg.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Freital taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Eilenburg have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Freital Clean Sheet 12%
Eilenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freital Eilenburg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Eilenburg
1:3
May 17, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Eilenburg vs Freital
4:0
Oct 1, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Eilenburg
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freital 83 / 100
Eilenburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freital Eilenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eilenburg has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Freital found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Freital has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freital VS Eilenburg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Freital

(Home)
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2
Auerbach
13 Sept
Einheit Rudolstadt
1 : 1
Freital
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Freital
4 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
09 Aug
Dresden II
1 : 0
Freital
Page 1 of 6

Eilenburg

(Away)
12 Sept
Eilenburg
3 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
04 Jul
Eilenburg
0 : 4
Babelsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halberstadt 5 5 0 0 19:3 15
2 Meuselwitz 5 5 0 0 12:4 15
3 Eilenburg 5 4 1 0 17:7 13
4 Dresden II 5 2 3 0 9:4 9
5 SSC Weissenfels 5 3 0 2 10:8 9
6 Halle 5 3 0 2 11:10 9
7 Auerbach 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
8 Sandersdorf 5 2 0 3 12:6 6
9 Einheit Wernigerode 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
10 Plauen 5 1 2 2 7:7 5
11 Freital 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
12 Bautzen 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
13 Krieschow 5 1 0 4 4:15 3
14 Einheit Rudolstadt 5 0 2 3 4:14 2
15 Glauchau 5 0 1 4 5:12 1
16 1.FC Frankfurt 5 0 0 5 6:23 0
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