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Freital vs Glauchau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Freital host Glauchau in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Glauchau have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Freital have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Freital have won 2 to Glauchau's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 1:4. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.31) point toward Freital. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Freital
35%
Draws
16%
Glauchau
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Freital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Freital come out ahead of Glauchau on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Freital's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Freital Clean Sheet 18%
Glauchau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freital Glauchau
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Glauchau vs Freital
1:4
Aug 30, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Glauchau
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freital 67 / 100
Glauchau 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freital Glauchau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Freital scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Glauchau has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Freital has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freital VS Glauchau
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Freital

(Home)
26 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
3 : 3
Freital
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2
Auerbach
13 Sept
Einheit Rudolstadt
1 : 1
Freital
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Freital
4 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
Page 1 of 6

Glauchau

(Away)
26 Sept
Glauchau
0 : 0
Dresden II
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
13 Sept
Glauchau
1 : 1
Plauen
30 Aug
Halle
2 : 1
Glauchau
16 Aug
Glauchau
1 : 4
Halberstadt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halberstadt 6 5 1 0 20:4 16
2 Meuselwitz 6 5 1 0 13:5 16
3 Eilenburg 6 4 1 1 19:10 13
4 Halle 6 4 0 2 15:11 12
5 Auerbach 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
6 Dresden II 6 2 4 0 9:4 10
7 SSC Weissenfels 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
8 Plauen 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
9 Einheit Wernigerode 6 1 4 1 12:12 7
10 Sandersdorf 6 2 0 4 13:10 6
11 Freital 6 1 3 2 11:12 6
12 Bautzen 6 1 3 2 8:13 6
13 Krieschow 6 1 1 4 5:16 4
14 1.FC Frankfurt 6 1 0 5 7:23 3
15 Glauchau 6 0 2 4 5:12 2
16 Einheit Rudolstadt 6 0 2 4 4:15 2
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