Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Freital vs Halberstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 game between Freital and Halberstadt finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Freital
20%
Draws
36%
Halberstadt
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Freital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Halberstadt haven't matched Freital's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Freital a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Freital have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Freital Clean Sheet 20%
Halberstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freital Halberstadt
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 17 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.82 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Halberstadt vs Freital
1:3
Nov 22, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Halberstadt
1:0
May 17, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Halberstadt
3:1
Nov 23, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Halberstadt vs Freital
2:4
Feb 24, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Halberstadt vs Freital
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freital 40 / 100
Halberstadt 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freital Halberstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Halberstadt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Freital found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Freital went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freital VS Halberstadt
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Freital

(Home)
09 Aug
Dresden II
1 : 0
Freital
30 May
Rsv Eintracht
2 : 1
Freital
17 May
Freital
2 : 0
Auerbach
10 May
Halberstadt
1 : 3
Freital
01 May
Freital
1 : 2
Halle
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Halberstadt

(Away)
07 Aug
Halberstadt
3 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
17 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 1
Halberstadt
05 Jul
Kastorf
4 : 3
Halberstadt
04 Jul
Jena
4 : 2
Halberstadt
30 May
Halberstadt
3 : 3
Halle
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
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