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Freital vs Krieschow

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Freital Logo

Freital

2 - 1
FT
Krieschow Logo

Krieschow

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 game between Freital and Krieschow finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Freital
15%
Draws
42%
Krieschow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Krieschow haven't matched Freital's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Freital a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Freital Clean Sheet 15%
Krieschow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freital Krieschow
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Krieschow
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Krieschow vs Freital
2:2
May 4, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Krieschow
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Krieschow vs Freital
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Krieschow
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freital 84 / 100
Krieschow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freital Krieschow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krieschow has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Freital scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Krieschow has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Freital VS Krieschow
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Freital

(Home)
09 Aug
Dresden II
1 : 0
Freital
30 May
Rsv Eintracht
2 : 1
Freital
17 May
Freital
2 : 0
Auerbach
10 May
Halberstadt
1 : 3
Freital
01 May
Freital
1 : 2
Halle
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Krieschow

(Away)
09 Aug
Sandersdorf
3 : 1
Krieschow
02 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 2
Krieschow
15 Jul
Krieschow
0 : 6
Altglienicke
04 Jul
Klosterfelde
1 : 2
Krieschow
30 May
Stendal
2 : 0
Krieschow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
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