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Frejus Saint Raphael vs Canet Roussillon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Frejus Saint Raphael host Canet Roussillon in the National 1 - Group C. This one's hard to separate. Frejus Saint Raphael have averaged 1.22 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Canet Roussillon's 0.9 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Frejus Saint Raphael have won 2 to Canet Roussillon's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2023, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.21 xG vs 1.00) point toward Frejus Saint Raphael. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Frejus Saint Raphael
20%
Draws
20%
Canet Roussillon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Frejus Saint Raphael

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frejus Saint Raphael lately — more wins on the board than Canet Roussillon.
  • Model gives Frejus Saint Raphael a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 1 - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 20%
Canet Roussillon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frejus Saint Raphael Canet Roussillon
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.22 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Canet Roussillon
1:2
Sep 10, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Canet Roussillon vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:0
Dec 8, 2018 Coupe de France
Canet Roussillon vs Frejus Saint Raphael
4:2
Dec 11, 2011 Coupe de France
Canet Roussillon vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:3
Nov 21, 2010 Coupe de France
Canet Roussillon vs Frejus Saint Raphael
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frejus Saint Raphael 49 / 100
Canet Roussillon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frejus Saint Raphael Canet Roussillon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frejus Saint Raphael Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Frejus Saint Raphael found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Canet Roussillon let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Canet Roussillon registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frejus Saint Raphael VS Canet Roussillon
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Home)
03 Oct
Bourges 18
0 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
Page 1 of 7

Canet Roussillon

(Away)
19 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
12 Sept
GOAL FC
2 : 2
Canet Roussillon
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3
Toulon
29 Aug
Andrezieux
2 : 0
Canet Roussillon
22 Aug
Canet Roussillon
1 : 3
Nimes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 6 5 1 0 15:3 16
2 Hyeres 6 3 3 0 11:4 12
3 Toulon 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 GOAL FC 5 2 3 0 9:5 9
5 Touraine 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
6 Hauts Lyonnais 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
7 Rumilly Vallieres 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
8 Frejus Saint Raphael 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
9 Andrezieux 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Troyes II 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
11 Saint Priest 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
12 Limonest 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
13 Bourges 18 5 0 4 1 1:2 4
14 Istres 6 0 4 2 2:6 4
15 Chateauroux 5 0 3 2 1:3 3
16 Lyon - La Duchere 6 1 0 5 6:16 3
17 Canet Roussillon 5 0 2 3 3:10 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)