Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Frejus Saint Raphael vs Rousset Ste Victoire

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Fichten L.
45' Event
Haddou I.
58' Event
Ferrand B.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between Frejus Saint Raphael and Rousset Ste Victoire finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frejus Saint Raphael.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Frejus Saint Raphael
15%
Draws
0%
Rousset Ste Victoire
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frejus Saint Raphael

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Frejus Saint Raphael come out ahead of Rousset Ste Victoire on wins alone.
  • Frejus Saint Raphael are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 68%
Rousset Ste Victoire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frejus Saint Raphael Rousset Ste Victoire
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.27 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Rousset Ste Victoire
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Rousset Ste Victoire vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Top Goalscorer Fichten L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrand B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Rousset Ste Victoire Compare

Top Goalscorer Haddou I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frejus Saint Raphael 95 / 100
Rousset Ste Victoire 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frejus Saint Raphael Rousset Ste Victoire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frejus Saint Raphael Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rousset Ste Victoire conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Rousset Ste Victoire's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Frejus Saint Raphael's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Frejus Saint Raphael VS Rousset Ste Victoire
1 Goals Scored 0.86
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.71
50% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Home)
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
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Rousset Ste Victoire

(Away)
16 May
Andrezieux
6 : 3
Rousset Ste Victoire
09 May
Rousset Ste Victoire
1 : 3
Cannes
02 May
Hyeres
1 : 0
Rousset Ste Victoire
25 Apr
Rousset Ste Victoire
0 : 3
St. Maur Lusitanos
18 Apr
Saint Priest
2 : 0
Rousset Ste Victoire
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)