Sport Picks
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Toulon
France
National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 
Match Events
28'
28'
Balde Y.
90'
90'
Diallo A.
AI Match Summary
Toulon in this National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toulon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Toulon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Toulon at 1.33 per game, Frejus Saint Raphael at 1.2.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 24%
Toulon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Frejus Saint Raphael | Toulon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Frejus Saint Raphael
3:1
May 2, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Toulon
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Toulon vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:2
Nov 2, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Toulon
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Frejus Saint Raphael Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Toulon Compare
Top Goalscorer Diallo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Frejus Saint Raphael 33 / 100
Toulon 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Frejus Saint Raphael Toulon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toulon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Frejus Saint Raphael scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Toulon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Frejus Saint Raphael went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Frejus Saint Raphael VS Toulon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Frejus Saint Raphael
(Home) 19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4 GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1 Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0 Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0 Saint Priest
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4 GOAL FC
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0 Andrezieux
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0 Saint Priest
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0 RC Grasse
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1 Toulon
Page 1 of 4
Toulon
(Away) 19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1 Toulon
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1 Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3 Toulon
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0 Bourges 18
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1 Toulon
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1 Toulon
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3 Toulon
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1 Toulon
09 May
Saint Priest
2 : 2 Toulon
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1 Toulon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cannes | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 53:30 | 60 |
| 2 | Nimes | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46:25 | 59 |
| 3 | St. Maur Lusitanos | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 40:24 | 55 |
| 4 | Rumilly Vallieres | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 49:36 | 47 |
| 5 | Hyeres | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 45 |
| 6 | Andrezieux | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 48:33 | 45 |
| 7 | Istres | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 8 | Creteil | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 43 |
| 9 | GOAL FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:46 | 40 |
| 10 | RC Grasse | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 41:42 | 36 |
| 11 | Frejus Saint Raphael | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 37:50 | 35 |
| 12 | Limonest | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 36:49 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Bobigny 93 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 29:31 | 32 |
| 14 | Toulon | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 38:47 | 31 |
| 15 | Saint Priest | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Rousset Ste Victoire | 30 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 28:76 | 12 |
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)
