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Fremantle City vs Perth RedStar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Hilton Park, Fremantle
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Match Events

17' Event
Murray L.
34' Event
Evans J.
52' Event
Woodcock R.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Fremantle City and Perth RedStar finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fremantle City
20%
Draws
29%
Perth RedStar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fremantle City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Perth RedStar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Fremantle City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Fremantle City Clean Sheet 20%
Perth RedStar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fremantle City Perth RedStar
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Fremantle City
0:3
May 30, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Perth RedStar
2:2
Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Perth RedStar vs Fremantle City
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Fremantle City
2:0
May 10, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Perth RedStar
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fremantle City Compare

Top Goalscorer Woodcock R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ambrogio N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Perth RedStar Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fremantle City 85 / 100
Perth RedStar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fremantle City Perth RedStar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fremantle City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fremantle City scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Perth RedStar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Fremantle City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fremantle City VS Perth RedStar
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fremantle City

(Home)
22 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
0 : 1
Fremantle City
15 Aug
Perth Glory U23
5 : 3
Fremantle City
09 Aug
South Melbourne
4 : 3
Fremantle City
01 Aug
Fremantle City
2 : 2
Perth Azzurri
22 Jul
Maitland
1 : 2
Fremantle City
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Perth RedStar

(Away)
04 Sept
Perth RedStar
1 : 3
Perth Azzurri
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Perth Azzurri
5 : 2
Perth RedStar
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
25 Jul
Perth RedStar
0 : 0
Balcatta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)