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Friburguense vs Belford Roxo

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
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AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 game between Friburguense and Belford Roxo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Friburguense
35%
Draws
23%
Belford Roxo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Friburguense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Friburguense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Friburguense taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Friburguense Clean Sheet 20%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Friburguense Belford Roxo
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.8 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Carioca B2
Friburguense vs Belford Roxo
2:2
Nov 2, 2024 Carioca B1
Belford Roxo vs Friburguense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Friburguense 85 / 100
Belford Roxo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Friburguense Belford Roxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Friburguense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Friburguense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Belford Roxo let in goals in 60% of their last 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Friburguense's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Friburguense VS Belford Roxo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Friburguense

(Home)
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 0
Campos AA
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
06 Sept
Friburguense
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
30 Aug
Serra Macaense
0 : 1
Friburguense
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Belford Roxo

(Away)
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 5 4 0 1 9:2 12
2 Cardoso Moreira 5 4 0 1 7:2 12
3 Friburguense 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
4 Paduano EC 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 7 de Abril 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
6 Serra Macaense 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
7 Belford Roxo 5 1 3 1 9:6 6
8 Campos AA 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
9 FC Rio de Janeiro 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
10 Barra Mansa 4 0 3 1 5:8 3
11 Buzios 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
12 Paraty 5 0 0 5 2:14 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)