Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Friesdorf vs Bergisch Gladbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Dahas M.
46' Event
Thaqaj A.
58' Event
Neukirch M.

AI Match Summary

Bergisch Gladbach in this Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bergisch Gladbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Friesdorf
15%
Draws
64%
Bergisch Gladbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bergisch Gladbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bergisch Gladbach lately — more wins on the board than Friesdorf.
  • Bergisch Gladbach are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Friesdorf Clean Sheet 10%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Friesdorf Bergisch Gladbach
Matches Played 33 46
Wins 11 28
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.61 2.46
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Bergisch Gladbach
2:4
Dec 3, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Friesdorf
3:0
Mar 20, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Friesdorf
1:1
Sep 5, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Bergisch Gladbach
2:2
May 5, 2019 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Bergisch Gladbach
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Friesdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thaqaj A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Bergisch Gladbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Heider C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Neukirch M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.38
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Friesdorf 10 / 100
Bergisch Gladbach 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Friesdorf Bergisch Gladbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergisch Gladbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Friesdorf scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Bergisch Gladbach has conceded goals in 70% of their last 46 outings.

Friesdorf has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bergisch Gladbach
0 Goals Scored 4.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Friesdorf

(Home)
22 Jul
Engers
2 : 0
Friesdorf
11 Jun
Friesdorf
2 : 4
Bergisch Gladbach
04 Jun
VfL Vichttal
11 : 3
Friesdorf
29 May
Friesdorf
3 : 2
Frechen
21 May
FC Viktoria 08
2 : 0
Friesdorf
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Bergisch Gladbach

(Away)
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
13 Sept
Koln II
1 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
06 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 0
Bochum II
02 Sept
Lotte
0 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
29 Aug
Bergisch Gladbach
0 : 4
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hennef 30 22 2 6 73:37 68
2 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 20 5 5 65:28 65
3 VfL Vichttal 30 19 4 7 88:51 61
4 Bonner 30 16 7 7 70:28 55
5 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 15 8 7 67:48 53
6 Bergisch Gladbach 30 15 8 7 53:35 53
7 Frechen 30 11 7 12 53:49 40
8 Borussia Freialdenhoven 30 10 8 12 38:52 38
9 Konigsdorf 30 10 4 16 49:51 34
10 FC Hurth 30 8 10 12 44:54 34
11 Glesch/Paffendorf 30 10 3 17 53:71 33
12 Fortuna Koln II 30 7 11 12 42:53 32
13 Siegburger 30 9 5 16 39:52 32
14 Friesdorf 30 8 4 18 39:88 28
15 Pesch 30 6 8 16 34:63 26
16 FC Viktoria 08 30 4 6 20 27:74 18
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)