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Frigg vs Baerum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Eie B.
83' Event
Hjelde E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Frigg
40%
Draws
29%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Frigg have won more games recently than Baerum.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Frigg Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frigg Baerum
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.38 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Frigg vs Baerum
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Frigg
2:3
Jun 28, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Frigg vs Baerum
3:4
Mar 8, 2025 OBOS Supercup
Frigg vs Baerum
0:4
Sep 21, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Frigg vs Baerum
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frigg Compare

Top Goalscorer Eie B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Hjelde E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frigg 30 / 100
Baerum 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frigg Baerum

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Frigg scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Baerum conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Frigg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Frigg VS Baerum
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%