Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Frigg vs Baerum

Norway Norway

OBOS Supercup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bransdal L.
38' Event
Myrmo M.
54' Event
Dacic A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Baerum advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Frigg
28%
Draws
50%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Frigg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Baerum's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Frigg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Baerum, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Frigg Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frigg Baerum
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.38 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Frigg vs Baerum
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Frigg
2:3
Jun 28, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Frigg vs Baerum
3:4
Mar 8, 2025 OBOS Supercup
Frigg vs Baerum
0:4
Sep 21, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Frigg vs Baerum
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frigg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Bransdal L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Myrmo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frigg 22 / 100
Baerum 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frigg Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frigg scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Baerum let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Frigg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frigg VS Baerum
2.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Frigg

(Home)
27 Jun
Frigg
1 : 1
Baerum
20 Jun
Lokomotiv Oslo
1 : 3
Frigg
13 Jun
Frigg
4 : 1
Heming
30 May
Gamle Oslo
1 : 3
Frigg
23 May
Frigg
1 : 2
Nordstrand
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Baerum

(Away)
27 Jun
Frigg
1 : 1
Baerum
20 Jun
Baerum
7 : 2
Konnerud
14 Jun
KFUM Oslo 2
1 : 4
Baerum
30 May
Baerum
5 : 0
Grei
23 May
Ready
4 : 2
Baerum
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Baerum531113:410
2Asker521213:97
3Lorenskog52128:77
4Ready521210:117
5Nordstrand52125:87
6Frigg51133:134
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotiv Oslo550019:415
2Oppsal531113:610
3Skjetten530212:109
4Ullern520310:176
5Grorud50238:122
6Skeid50149:221
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2025 (Play Offs)