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Frigg vs Lorenskog

Norway Norway

OBOS Supercup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Abrahamsen K.

AI Match Summary

Lorenskog in this OBOS Supercup 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Frigg
33%
Draws
40%
Lorenskog
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lorenskog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lorenskog lately — more wins on the board than Frigg.
  • Lorenskog are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Lorenskog arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lorenskog, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Frigg Clean Sheet 10%
Lorenskog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frigg Lorenskog
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.38 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 NM Cup
Frigg vs Lorenskog
1:3
Mar 2, 2025 OBOS Supercup
Frigg vs Lorenskog
0:1
Oct 1, 2016 Division 2 - Group 3
Lorenskog vs Frigg
1:2
Jun 12, 2016 Division 2 - Group 3
Frigg vs Lorenskog
3:1
Sep 15, 2012 Division 2 - Group 4
Frigg vs Lorenskog
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frigg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Lorenskog Compare

Top Goalscorer Abrahamsen K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frigg 26 / 100
Lorenskog 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frigg Lorenskog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frigg scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Lorenskog has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Frigg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frigg VS Lorenskog
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Frigg

(Home)
27 Jun
Frigg
1 : 1
Baerum
20 Jun
Lokomotiv Oslo
1 : 3
Frigg
13 Jun
Frigg
4 : 1
Heming
30 May
Gamle Oslo
1 : 3
Frigg
23 May
Frigg
1 : 2
Nordstrand
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Lorenskog

(Away)
27 Jun
Lorenskog
1 : 0
Grorud
21 Jun
Trygg/Lade
1 : 4
Lorenskog
14 Jun
Lorenskog
6 : 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
31 May
Honefoss
1 : 1
Lorenskog
25 May
Lorenskog
1 : 0
Levanger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Baerum531113:410
2Asker521213:97
3Lorenskog52128:77
4Ready521210:117
5Nordstrand52125:87
6Frigg51133:134
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotiv Oslo550019:415
2Oppsal531113:610
3Skjetten530212:109
4Ullern520310:176
5Grorud50238:122
6Skeid50149:221
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2025 (Play Offs)