Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Frohnlach vs Erlenbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Frohnlach in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frohnlach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Frohnlach
15%
Draws
0%
Erlenbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frohnlach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erlenbach lately — more wins on the board than Frohnlach.
  • Frohnlach are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Frohnlach Clean Sheet 20%
Erlenbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frohnlach Erlenbach
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 24 22
Goals Scored 0.63 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.9 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlenbach vs Frohnlach
4:0
Oct 22, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Frohnlach vs Erlenbach
5:0
Apr 2, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlenbach vs Frohnlach
3:0
Sep 5, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Frohnlach vs Erlenbach
0:2
Mar 21, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Frohnlach vs Erlenbach
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frohnlach 85 / 100
Erlenbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frohnlach Erlenbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frohnlach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erlenbach let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Erlenbach has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Frohnlach found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Erlenbach
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Frohnlach

(Home)
20 May
Erlenbach
4 : 0
Frohnlach
13 May
Frohnlach
1 : 1
DJK Ammerthal
06 May
TSV Aubstadt
1 : 0
Frohnlach
29 Apr
Frohnlach
1 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers II
26 Apr
Frohnlach
0 : 3
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
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Erlenbach

(Away)
18 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
Erlenbach
12 May
Erlenbach
2 : 5
Bayern Hof
05 May
Wurzburger Kickers II
6 : 1
Erlenbach
28 Apr
Erlenbach
0 : 5
Gebenbach
25 Apr
Jahn Forchheim
5 : 3
Erlenbach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vfb Eichstatt 34 22 7 5 83:34 73
2 Aschaffenburg 34 20 9 5 83:34 69
3 TSV Aubstadt 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Grossbardorf 34 19 7 8 59:29 64
5 ASV Neumarkt 34 20 4 10 53:30 64
6 Eltersdorf 34 14 7 13 58:56 49
7 1. FC Sand 34 13 10 11 52:46 49
8 DJK Ammerthal 34 13 9 12 54:54 48
9 Wurzburger Kickers II 34 14 9 11 47:39 48
10 Amberg 34 11 11 12 55:51 44
11 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 12 7 15 43:48 43
12 Wurzburger FV 34 12 7 15 43:58 43
13 Ansbach 34 12 6 16 61:64 42
14 Weiden 34 11 8 15 36:58 41
15 Feucht 34 10 7 17 35:49 37
16 Erlenbach 34 7 7 20 29:79 28
17 Alemannia Haibach 34 6 7 21 43:70 25
18 Frohnlach 34 3 4 27 23:97 13
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2016/2017 (Relegation)