Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Frome Town vs Gosport Borough

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ngalo J.
22' Event
Hopkins A.
67' Event
Jallow A.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Frome Town and Gosport Borough finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gosport Borough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Frome Town
20%
Draws
40%
Gosport Borough
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Frome Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Gosport Borough taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Frome Town Clean Sheet 13%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frome Town Gosport Borough
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.78 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Frome Town vs Gosport Borough
1:2
Feb 18, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Frome Town vs Gosport Borough
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Frome Town
0:1
Feb 9, 2019 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Frome Town
3:1
Oct 20, 2018 Southern League Premier South
Frome Town vs Gosport Borough
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frome Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Hopkins A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Gosport Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngalo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jallow A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frome Town 27 / 100
Gosport Borough 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frome Town Gosport Borough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gosport Borough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gosport Borough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Frome Town's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Frome Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frome Town VS Gosport Borough
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Frome Town

(Home)
26 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 1
Willand Rovers
22 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Frome Town
19 Sept
Frome Town
0 : 2
Plymouth Parkway
12 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 2
Hanwell Town
05 Sept
Falmouth Town
2 : 4
Frome Town
Page 1 of 6

Gosport Borough

(Away)
26 Sept
Tiverton
1 : 3
Gosport Borough
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1
Taunton Town
05 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Plymouth Parkway
31 Aug
Sholing
1 : 0
Gosport Borough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
2 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
3 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
4 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Poole Town 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
6 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
7 Frome Town 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
8 Evesham 8 4 1 3 13:14 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
11 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
12 Taunton Town 8 4 0 4 21:20 12
13 Gosport Borough 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
14 Yate 8 3 2 3 10:15 11
15 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
16 Bracknell Town 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)