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Stadium Background

Frosinone vs Bari

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Rao E.
Assist: Moncini G.
8' Event
Fini S.
Assist: Oyono A.
29'
Fiori A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Frosinone and Bari finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frosinone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Frosinone
35%
Draws
45%
Bari
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Bari haven't matched Frosinone's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 20%
Bari Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frosinone Bari
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Serie B
Frosinone vs Bari
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Serie B
Bari vs Frosinone
2:3
Feb 2, 2025 Serie B
Bari vs Frosinone
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Serie B
Frosinone vs Bari
0:3
Jul 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Frosinone vs Bari
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frosinone Compare

Top Goalscorer Fini S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corrado N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Bari Compare

Top Goalscorer Rao E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frosinone 32 / 100
Bari 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frosinone Bari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Frosinone scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Bari has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Frosinone stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frosinone VS Bari
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Frosinone

(Home)
23 Aug
Frosinone
0 : 1
Juventus
16 Aug
Frosinone
4 : 1
Juve Stabia
09 Aug
Frosinone
1 : 2
Lazio
01 Aug
Frosinone
2 : 2
Benevento
29 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
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Bari

(Away)
21 Aug
Bari
3 : 0
Cavese
16 Aug
Bari
1 : 0
Casarano
28 Jul
Lanciano
0 : 1
Bari
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
15 May
Bari
0 : 0
Sudtirol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)