Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Frosinone vs Mantova

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Castellini A.
5' Event
Calo G.
(Penalty)
12' Event
Castellini A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Frosinone and Mantova finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frosinone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Frosinone
20%
Draws
42%
Mantova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Frosinone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mantova are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 13%
Mantova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frosinone Mantova
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Serie B
Frosinone vs Mantova
5:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie B
Mantova vs Frosinone
1:5
Mar 1, 2025 Serie B
Frosinone vs Mantova
2:1
Dec 21, 2024 Serie B
Mantova vs Frosinone
3:1
Jan 23, 2010 Serie B
Mantova vs Frosinone
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frosinone Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghedjemis F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raimondo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Mantova Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frosinone 22 / 100
Mantova 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frosinone Mantova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Frosinone scored in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Mantova has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Frosinone has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Frosinone VS Mantova
1.88 Goals Scored 3
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Frosinone

(Home)
09 Aug
Frosinone
1 : 2
Lazio
01 Aug
Frosinone
2 : 2
Benevento
29 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Ascoli
22 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Frosinone U20
Page 1 of 6

Mantova

(Away)
09 Aug
Mantova
0 : 1
Carpi
06 Aug
Legnago Salus
1 : 3
Mantova
30 Jul
Mantova
6 : 2
Alcione Milano
26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0
Ambrosiana
08 May
Frosinone
5 : 0
Mantova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)