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Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fuerte San Francisco host Alianza FC in the Primera Division. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Fuerte San Francisco have averaged 0.78 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Alianza FC's 1.15 scored and 1.26 conceded. Past meetings favor Alianza FC slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (0.94 - 1.13) back Alianza FC to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fuerte San Francisco
35%
Draws
39%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Alianza FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Fuerte San Francisco taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alianza FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuerte San Francisco Alianza FC
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 4 10
Draws 9 14
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.78 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Fuerte San Francisco
2:2
May 1, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza FC
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Fuerte San Francisco
3:2
Nov 16, 2025 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza FC
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuerte San Francisco 36 / 100
Alianza FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuerte San Francisco Alianza FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza FC let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Fuerte San Francisco's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fuerte San Francisco stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fuerte San Francisco VS Alianza FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuerte San Francisco

(Home)
25 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 2
Atletico Balboa
18 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
10 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
2 : 1
Cacahuatique
04 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
Page 1 of 6

Alianza FC

(Away)
28 Oct
Alianza FC
0 : 0
Marathon
24 Oct
Alianza FC
1 : 0
Metapan
21 Oct
Marathon
2 : 1
Alianza FC
17 Oct
Cacahuatique
0 : 0
Alianza FC
11 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 16 9 5 2 29:12 32
2 FAS 17 9 4 4 28:18 31
3 Metapan 17 9 3 5 23:18 30
4 Aguila 17 7 6 4 30:21 27
5 Inter Santa Tecla 17 6 8 3 24:16 26
6 Platense Municipal 17 7 5 5 25:20 26
7 Alianza FC 16 5 8 3 23:21 23
8 Municipal Limeno 17 6 3 8 26:26 21
9 Inca Aruba 17 4 4 9 13:31 16
10 Atletico Balboa 17 3 5 9 16:28 14
11 Cacahuatique 17 2 7 8 18:29 13
12 Fuerte San Francisco 17 2 6 9 14:29 12
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)