Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fuerte San Francisco vs Jocoro

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fuerte San Francisco play Jocoro in the Primera Division 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fuerte San Francisco averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Jocoro averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Fuerte San Francisco won 3, Jocoro won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 7, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.63 for Jocoro. This points to a Fuerte San Francisco double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fuerte San Francisco
26%
Draws
27%
Jocoro
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Fuerte San Francisco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Fuerte San Francisco picked up more points recently compared to Jocoro.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 14%
Jocoro Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuerte San Francisco Jocoro
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 5
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Jocoro
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Fuerte San Francisco
0:0
Nov 18, 2023 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Fuerte San Francisco
2:3
Sep 24, 2023 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Jocoro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fuerte San Francisco Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Canales L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jocoro Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuerte San Francisco 45 / 100
Jocoro 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuerte San Francisco Jocoro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fuerte San Francisco or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fuerte San Francisco attacking → ← attacking Jocoro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fuerte San Francisco scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Jocoro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Fuerte San Francisco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jocoro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 23
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Alianza FC22136339:1345
2Luis Angel Firpo22133647:3042
3Municipal Limeno22123733:2539
4Aguila22108429:1838
5FAS2288626:2432
6Platense Municipal2295826:2932
7Metapan2294924:2231
811 Deportivo2287722:2431
9Dragon22931027:3330
10Santa Tecla22551226:3920
11Fuerte San Francisco22451319:3017
12Jocoro22231713:449