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Fuerte San Francisco vs Luis Angel Firpo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Arizala Dajomes W. Y.
29'
Rugama W.
89' Event
Valencia J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Fuerte San Francisco and Luis Angel Firpo finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luis Angel Firpo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Fuerte San Francisco
35%
Draws
55%
Luis Angel Firpo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luis Angel Firpo come out ahead of Fuerte San Francisco on wins alone.
  • Luis Angel Firpo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Luis Angel Firpo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 19%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuerte San Francisco Luis Angel Firpo
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 4 18
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.78 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Luis Angel Firpo
0:3
Jul 30, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco
4:0
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Luis Angel Firpo
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fuerte San Francisco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Arizala Dajomes W. Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valencia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuerte San Francisco 16 / 100
Luis Angel Firpo 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuerte San Francisco Luis Angel Firpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luis Angel Firpo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Fuerte San Francisco found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (27 games).

Luis Angel Firpo let in goals in 50% of their last 34 matches.

Fuerte San Francisco has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fuerte San Francisco VS Luis Angel Firpo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuerte San Francisco

(Home)
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 0
Fuerte San Francisco
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
19 Sept
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
13 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

Luis Angel Firpo

(Away)
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
2 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
3 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15 2 6 7 11:24 12
12 Cacahuatique 15 2 5 8 15:26 11
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)