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Fugen vs Schwaz

Austria Austria

Regionalliga West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West game between Fugen and Schwaz finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schwaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Fugen
15%
Draws
36%
Schwaz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fugen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fugen come out ahead of Schwaz on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fugen a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Schwaz here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Fugen Clean Sheet 11%
Schwaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fugen Schwaz
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.79 2
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Regionalliga West
Fugen vs Schwaz
2:3
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Schwaz vs Fugen
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Schwaz vs Fugen
5:2
Jun 3, 2023 Regionalliga West - Tyrol
Schwaz vs Fugen
3:1
Apr 21, 2023 Regionalliga West - Tyrol
Fugen vs Schwaz
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fugen 74 / 100
Schwaz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fugen Schwaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fugen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fugen's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Schwaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Fugen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fugen VS Schwaz
3.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fugen

(Home)
08 Aug
Kitzbuhel
0 : 2
Fugen
31 Jul
Fugen
2 : 3
Schwaz
14 Jul
Kolsass Weer
1 : 8
Fugen
12 Jun
Innsbrucker AC
2 : 3
Fugen
06 Jun
Fugen
6 : 1
Kematen
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Schwaz

(Away)
08 Aug
Schwaz
2 : 1
Rothis
05 Aug
Schwaz
0 : 15
Augsburg
31 Jul
Fugen
2 : 3
Schwaz
26 Jul
Schwaz
2 : 3
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
11 Jul
Schwaz
7 : 1
SV Worgl
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hohenems 2 2 0 0 9:2 6
2 SC Imst 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Schwaz 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
4 Kufstein 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 Dornbirn 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 Fugen 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
7 Rothis 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
8 SK St. Johann 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Reichenau 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
10 Kitzbuhel 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Lochau 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
12 Tirol (Am) 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 FC Wolfurt 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
14 Altach U21 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
15 Lauterach 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
16 FC Lustenau 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
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