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Fujieda MYFC vs Montedio Yamagata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Fujieda soccer stadium, Fujieda
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fujieda MYFC host Montedio Yamagata in the J2 League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Montedio Yamagata have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Fujieda MYFC have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Fujieda MYFC slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2026, ending 3:5. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.19) point toward Fujieda MYFC. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Fujieda MYFC
30%
Draws
35%
Montedio Yamagata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fujieda MYFC come out ahead of Montedio Yamagata on wins alone.
  • Fujieda MYFC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fujieda MYFC Clean Sheet 20%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fujieda MYFC Montedio Yamagata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.43 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Montedio Yamagata vs Fujieda MYFC
3:5
Nov 29, 2025 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Fujieda MYFC
2:1
May 31, 2025 J2 League
Fujieda MYFC vs Montedio Yamagata
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 J2 League
Fujieda MYFC vs Montedio Yamagata
0:1
Mar 20, 2024 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Fujieda MYFC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fujieda MYFC 42 / 100
Montedio Yamagata 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fujieda MYFC Montedio Yamagata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Fujieda MYFC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Montedio Yamagata has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Fujieda MYFC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fujieda MYFC VS Montedio Yamagata
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fujieda MYFC

(Home)
03 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
29 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2
Cerezo Osaka
26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Fujieda MYFC
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6

Montedio Yamagata

(Away)
03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1
Montedio Yamagata
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0
Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2
Toyama
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
2 Albirex Niigata 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
3 Toyama 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
4 Omiya Ardija 9 4 5 0 17:8 17
5 Yokohama FC 9 5 2 2 18:11 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
7 Fujieda MYFC 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
8 Blaublitz 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
9 Tokushima 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
10 Montedio Yamagata 9 4 0 5 11:8 12
11 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
12 Oita Trinita 9 2 5 2 9:7 11
13 Tochigi City 9 3 1 5 15:15 10
14 Iwata 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
15 Vanraure 9 3 1 5 5:14 10
16 Iwaki 9 3 0 6 12:17 9
17 Sagan Tosu 9 2 2 5 8:12 8
18 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 9 2 2 5 12:18 8
19 Imabari 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
20 Kofu 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)