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Fujieda MYFC vs Omiya Ardija Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Fujieda soccer stadium, Fujieda
Sat, Apr 25, 2026
1 - 2
05:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

55'
Nagano S.
62'
Sub
Mori Y. In: Nakagawa S.
Out: Mori Y.
65' Event
Manabe H.

AI Match Summary

Omiya Ardija in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Omiya Ardija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Fujieda MYFC
35%
Draws
45%
Omiya Ardija
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Omiya Ardija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Omiya Ardija at 1.82 per game, Fujieda MYFC at 1.43.
  • Win probability leans Omiya Ardija's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Fujieda MYFC Clean Sheet 16%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fujieda MYFC Omiya Ardija
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 J2 League
Fujieda MYFC vs Omiya Ardija
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 J2/J3 League
Fujieda MYFC vs Omiya Ardija
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 J2/J3 League
Omiya Ardija vs Fujieda MYFC
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Fujieda MYFC
1:0
May 17, 2025 J2 League
Fujieda MYFC vs Omiya Ardija
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fujieda MYFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Manabe H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Omiya Ardija Compare

Top Goalscorer Caprini Pinto M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fujieda MYFC 23 / 100
Omiya Ardija 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fujieda MYFC Omiya Ardija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omiya Ardija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fujieda MYFC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Omiya Ardija has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Fujieda MYFC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fujieda MYFC VS Omiya Ardija
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fujieda MYFC

(Home)
03 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
29 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2
Cerezo Osaka
26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Fujieda MYFC
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6

Omiya Ardija

(Away)
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0
Oita Trinita
06 Sept
Blaublitz
0 : 0
Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)