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Fukushima United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Toho, Fukushima
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fukushima United host Giravanz Kitakyushu in the J3 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Giravanz Kitakyushu have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Fukushima United have conceded 2.21 and scored 2.04. Head-to-head, Fukushima United have won 4 to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 9, 2025, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.06 - 2.25) back Fukushima United to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Fukushima United
20%
Draws
51%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Giravanz Kitakyushu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fukushima United come out ahead of Giravanz Kitakyushu on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Giravanz Kitakyushu's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Fukushima United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Fukushima United Clean Sheet 10%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fukushima United Giravanz Kitakyushu
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 2.04 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Fukushima United
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:0
Jun 29, 2024 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Fukushima United
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Fukushima United
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fukushima United 26 / 100
Giravanz Kitakyushu 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fukushima United Giravanz Kitakyushu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giravanz Kitakyushu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fukushima United scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Giravanz Kitakyushu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fukushima United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fukushima United VS Giravanz Kitakyushu
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fukushima United

(Home)
10 Oct
Fukushima United
2 : 2
Reilac Shiga
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2
Fukushima United
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7
Mito
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Nagano Parceiro
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1
Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6

Giravanz Kitakyushu

(Away)
10 Oct
Nara Club
2 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3
Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1
Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)