Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fukuyama City vs Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Taguchi S.
90' Event
Ito K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Fukuyama City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fukuyama City
33%
Draws
40%
Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fukuyama City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fukuyama City Clean Sheet 10%
Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fukuyama City Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima
Matches Played 12 12
Wins 4 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2020 Emperors Cup
Fukuyama City vs Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fukuyama City Compare

Top Goalscorer Taguchi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ito K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fukuyama City 26 / 100
Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fukuyama City Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fukuyama City scored in 67% of their last 12 games.

Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 12 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fukuyama City VS Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fukuyama City

(Home)
11 Jun
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0
Fukuyama City
25 May
Fukuyama City
2 : 1
FC Tokushima
24 Feb
Tokushima
3 : 1
Fukuyama City
12 Jun
Avispa Fukuoka
8 : 0
Fukuyama City
01 Jun
Tokushima
2 : 1
Fukuyama City
Page 1 of 3

Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima

(Away)
09 Jun
Nagoya Grampus
5 : 0
Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima
28 Oct
Fukuyama City
2 : 0
Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima
22 Sept
Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima
0 : 2
TDK SC
16 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
1 : 4
Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima
08 Oct
Montedio Yamagata
6 : 2
Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kawasaki Frontale-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Blaublitz-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Niigata University0
Fukui Utd.2
Fuji University1
Reinmeer Aomori2
Fukuyama City2
Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima0
Arterivo Wakayama3
Hirakata2
Gamba Osaka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tokushima-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
National Institute of Fitness and Sports in Kanoya1
Verspah Oita2
Honda FC1
Maruyasu Okazaki0
Tsukuba Univ.3
Tokyo Musashino City2
Kochi United2
FC Tokushima1
1/16-finals
Kawasaki Frontale-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Blaublitz-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fukui Utd.2
Reinmeer Aomori1
Fukuyama City2
Arterivo Wakayama1
Gamba Osaka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tokushima-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Verspah Oita0
Honda FC1
Tsukuba Univ.3
Kochi United2
1/8-finals
Kawasaki Frontale-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Blaublitz-
TBD-
Fukui Utd.0
Fukuyama City3
Gamba Osaka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tokushima-
TBD-
Honda FC2
Tsukuba Univ.1
Quarter-finals
Kawasaki Frontale-
TBD-
Blaublitz3
Fukuyama City1
Gamba Osaka-
TBD-
Tokushima3
Honda FC0
Semi-finals
Kawasaki Frontale2
Blaublitz0
Gamba Osaka2
Tokushima0
Final
Kawasaki Frontale1
Gamba Osaka0