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Fulda-Lehnerz vs Mainz II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fulda-Lehnerz host Mainz II in the Regionalliga Sudwest. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Mainz II have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Fulda-Lehnerz have conceded 1.61 and scored 1.74. Past meetings favor Fulda-Lehnerz slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Mainz II. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Fulda-Lehnerz
20%
Draws
64%
Mainz II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mainz II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Mainz II have managed 1.21 goals a game lately — Fulda-Lehnerz are scoring more at 1.74.
  • Fulda-Lehnerz are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fulda-Lehnerz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Fulda-Lehnerz Clean Sheet 20%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulda-Lehnerz Mainz II
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.74 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Fulda-Lehnerz vs Mainz II
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Fulda-Lehnerz
2:2
Apr 27, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Fulda-Lehnerz
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Fulda-Lehnerz vs Mainz II
1:0
Mar 23, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Fulda-Lehnerz
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulda-Lehnerz 36 / 100
Mainz II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulda-Lehnerz Mainz II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulda-Lehnerz's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Mainz II let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Mainz II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fulda-Lehnerz VS Mainz II
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulda-Lehnerz

(Home)
10 Oct
Fulda-Lehnerz
0 : 2
Aalen
03 Oct
FC 08 Homburg
1 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
26 Sept
VfR Mannheim
5 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
19 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 3
Freiburg II
12 Sept
Stutt. Kickers
2 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
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Mainz II

(Away)
10 Oct
Astoria Walldorf
1 : 1
Mainz II
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2
Freiburg II
26 Sept
Kassel
1 : 2
Mainz II
19 Sept
Mainz II
0 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalen 11 6 3 2 20:11 21
2 Freiberg 10 5 5 0 26:11 20
3 Kickers Offenbach 11 6 2 3 22:15 20
4 Stutt. Kickers 11 6 2 3 19:15 20
5 VfR Mannheim 10 4 5 1 16:9 17
6 Freiburg II 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
7 TSV Steinbach Haiger 11 4 4 3 19:15 16
8 FC 08 Homburg 11 4 4 3 15:15 16
9 Sandhausen 11 4 4 3 19:21 16
10 Eintracht Trier 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
11 Kassel 11 4 2 5 20:21 14
12 FSV Frankfurt 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
14 Astoria Walldorf 11 2 4 5 16:19 10
15 Mainz II 11 3 1 7 11:22 10
16 Kaiserslautern II 10 2 3 5 9:21 9
17 Ulm 11 1 5 5 14:21 8
18 Fulda-Lehnerz 11 1 3 7 14:24 6
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)