Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fulgens Foligno vs Grosseto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Santarelli A.
25' Event
Panaioli L.
39' Event
Senigagliesi L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Fulgens Foligno and Grosseto finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fulgens Foligno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fulgens Foligno
30%
Draws
37%
Grosseto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Grosseto haven't matched Fulgens Foligno's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fulgens Foligno Clean Sheet 20%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulgens Foligno Grosseto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Fulgens Foligno vs Grosseto
4:1
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Fulgens Foligno
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulgens Foligno Compare

Top Goalscorer Panaioli L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Santarelli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Grosseto Compare

Top Goalscorer Senigagliesi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulgens Foligno 32 / 100
Grosseto 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulgens Foligno Grosseto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulgens Foligno found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Grosseto conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fulgens Foligno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grosseto
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulgens Foligno

(Home)
11 May
Fulgens Foligno
1 : 2
Orvietana
04 May
Fulgens Foligno
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
27 Apr
Livorno
2 : 1
Fulgens Foligno
17 Apr
Fulgens Foligno
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
12 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Fulgens Foligno
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Grosseto

(Away)
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Sassari Torres
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)