Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025

Fulgens Foligno

1 - 2

Orvietana

Our Tip

Match Events

30'

Panattoni M.

31'

Simic L.

82'

Tomassini S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Fulgens Foligno and Orvietana finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orvietana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Fulgens Foligno

44%

Draws

20%

Orvietana

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Fulgens Foligno carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 3 times recently and Orvietana have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%

Fulgens Foligno Clean Sheet 22%

Orvietana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fulgens Foligno	Orvietana
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	15	10
Draws	8	11
Losses	7	12
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	0	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group E

Fulgens Foligno vs Orvietana

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group E

Fulgens Foligno vs Orvietana

Possession: 51% - 60% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group E

Orvietana vs Fulgens Foligno

Possession: 49% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulgens Foligno Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomassini S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Orvietana Compare

Top Goalscorer Panattoni M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Simic L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulgens Foligno 37 / 100

Orvietana 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fulgens Foligno Orvietana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORV Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulgens Foligno scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Orvietana conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Fulgens Foligno has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orvietana

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Livorno	34	21	9	4	74:44	72
2	Fulgens Foligno	34	17	9	8	61:44	60
3	Seravezza Pozzi	34	16	11	7	53:39	59
4	Ghiviborgo	34	17	4	13	65:57	55
5	Orvietana	34	15	8	11	44:41	53
6	Siena	34	14	10	10	35:32	52
7	Grosseto	34	13	11	10	39:34	50
8	Ostiamare	34	12	9	13	49:53	45
9	Poggibonsi	34	12	7	15	32:36	43
10	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	11	10	13	26:26	43
11	Montevarchi	34	9	14	11	36:39	41
12	Flaminia	34	10	10	14	42:43	40
13	Follonica Gavorrano	34	10	10	14	40:45	40
14	Terranuova Traiana	34	8	15	11	34:47	39
15	Figline	34	9	11	14	29:33	38
16	Sporting Trestina	34	9	11	14	35:45	38
17	Sangiovannese	34	9	9	16	30:38	36
18	Fezzanese	34	6	8	20	35:63	26