Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fulgens Foligno vs Sporting Trestina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Settimi T.
33' Event
Mencagli F.
51' Event
Settimi T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Fulgens Foligno and Sporting Trestina finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fulgens Foligno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Fulgens Foligno
20%
Draws
10%
Sporting Trestina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fulgens Foligno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Fulgens Foligno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fulgens Foligno's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Fulgens Foligno Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulgens Foligno Sporting Trestina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Fulgens Foligno vs Sporting Trestina
4:2
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Fulgens Foligno
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulgens Foligno Compare

Top Goalscorer Settimi T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Calderini E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Sporting Trestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Mencagli F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sensi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulgens Foligno 86 / 100
Sporting Trestina 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulgens Foligno Sporting Trestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fulgens Foligno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fulgens Foligno scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Sporting Trestina has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fulgens Foligno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sporting Trestina
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulgens Foligno

(Home)
11 May
Fulgens Foligno
1 : 2
Orvietana
04 May
Fulgens Foligno
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
27 Apr
Livorno
2 : 1
Fulgens Foligno
17 Apr
Fulgens Foligno
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
12 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Fulgens Foligno
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Sporting Trestina

(Away)
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5
Vigor Senigallia
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)