Sport Picks

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Fulham vs Chelsea

England England

Premier League Craven Cottage, London
Mon, Aug 24, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fulham host Chelsea in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Chelsea have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Fulham have conceded 1 and scored 0.63. Past meetings favor Chelsea slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 7, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.06 - 0.88) back Fulham to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fulham
40%
Draws
29%
Chelsea
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chelsea come out ahead of Fulham on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Fulham Clean Sheet 20%
Chelsea Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulham Chelsea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs Chelsea
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Chelsea vs Fulham
2:0
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Fulham vs Chelsea
1:2
Dec 26, 2024 Premier League
Chelsea vs Fulham
1:2
Jan 13, 2024 Premier League
Chelsea vs Fulham
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulham 32 / 100
Chelsea 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulham Chelsea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Fulham found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fulham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fulham VS Chelsea
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulham

(Home)
28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Fulham
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2
Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd
17 May
Wolves
1 : 1
Fulham
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1
Bournemouth
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Chelsea

(Away)
28 Jul
Chelsea
6 : 4
Western Sydney Wanderers
24 May
Sunderland
2 : 1
Chelsea
19 May
Chelsea
2 : 1
Tottenham
16 May
Chelsea
0 : 1
Manchester City
09 May
Liverpool
1 : 1
Chelsea
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal00000:00
2Aston Villa00000:00
3Chelsea00000:00
4Everton00000:00
5Fulham00000:00
6Liverpool00000:00
7Manchester City00000:00
8Manchester United00000:00
9Newcastle Utd00000:00
10Sunderland00000:00
11Tottenham00000:00
12Coventry00000:00
13Crystal Palace00000:00
14Hull City00000:00
15Ipswich00000:00
16Bournemouth00000:00
17Brighton00000:00
18Leeds00000:00
19Nottingham00000:00
20Brentford00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)