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Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon

England England

EFL Cup Craven Cottage, London
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Smith Rowe E.
Assist: Sessegnon R.
42' Event
Rodrigo Muniz
Assist: Tete K.
46'
Sub
Bobb O. In: Zepa M.
Out: Bobb O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fulham
20%
Draws
29%
AFC Wimbledon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fulham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Wimbledon haven't matched Fulham's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fulham's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Fulham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fulham, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Fulham Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulham AFC Wimbledon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 EFL Cup
Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulham Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith Rowe E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigo Muniz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

AFC Wimbledon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulham 85 / 100
AFC Wimbledon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulham AFC Wimbledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fulham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulham found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: AFC Wimbledon conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Fulham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fulham VS AFC Wimbledon
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulham

(Home)
30 Aug
Sunderland
1 : 0
Fulham
27 Aug
Fulham
3 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
24 Aug
Fulham
2 : 3
Chelsea
15 Aug
Fulham
1 : 0
VfB Stuttgart
12 Aug
Malaga
2 : 2
Fulham
Page 1 of 6

AFC Wimbledon

(Away)
30 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0
Wigan
27 Aug
Fulham
3 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
22 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0
Reading
18 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
15 Aug
Huddersfield
3 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Manchester United -
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Brighton -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Liverpool -
TBD -
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Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
1/32-finals
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
1/16-finals
Crystal Palace -
Middlesbrough -
Manchester United -
Brighton -
Manchester City -
Norwich -
Sunderland -
Hull City -
Coventry -
Aston Villa -
Chelsea -
Leeds -
Ipswich -
Arsenal -
West Ham -
Fulham -
Bournemouth -
Lincoln City -
Liverpool -
Tottenham -
Millwall -
Newcastle Utd -
Fleetwood Town -
Sheffield Utd -
Everton -
Wolves -
Leyton Orient -
Bradford City -
Reading -
Brentford -
Peterborough -
Barnsley -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -