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Fulham vs Chelsea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Craven Cottage, London
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Joao Pedro
Assist: Palmer C.
5'
Colwill L.
12'
Lavia R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Fulham and Chelsea finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelsea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Fulham
15%
Draws
39%
Chelsea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fulham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chelsea come out ahead of Fulham on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fulham's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fulham Clean Sheet 11%
Chelsea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulham Chelsea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs Chelsea
2:3
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs Chelsea
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Chelsea vs Fulham
2:0
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Fulham vs Chelsea
1:2
Dec 26, 2024 Premier League
Chelsea vs Fulham
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulham Compare

Top Goalscorer King J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Chelsea Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rogers M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulham 40 / 100
Chelsea 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulham Chelsea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Fulham found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Fulham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fulham VS Chelsea
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulham

(Home)
28 Oct
Fulham
0 : 1
Crystal Palace
24 Oct
Coventry
0 : 1
Fulham
17 Oct
Fulham
1 : 0
Hull City
10 Oct
Ipswich
2 : 1
Fulham
20 Sept
Fulham
1 : 1
Manchester United
Page 1 of 6

Chelsea

(Away)
28 Oct
Liverpool
2 : 1
Chelsea
24 Oct
Chelsea
0 : 2
Tottenham
17 Oct
Everton
0 : 2
Chelsea
10 Oct
Chelsea
5 : 1
Bournemouth
18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0
Chelsea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 8 7 0 1 20:9 21
2 Arsenal 8 7 0 1 13:5 21
3 Brighton 8 5 1 2 23:7 16
4 Liverpool 8 4 3 1 11:8 15
5 Chelsea 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
6 Brentford 8 2 5 1 14:9 11
7 Leeds 8 2 5 1 9:6 11
8 Newcastle Utd 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
9 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
10 Hull City 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Everton 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
12 Ipswich 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
13 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
14 Tottenham 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
15 Fulham 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
16 Manchester United 8 1 4 3 10:13 7
17 Crystal Palace 8 2 1 5 9:19 7
18 Nottingham 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Coventry 8 2 0 6 6:15 6
20 Sunderland 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)