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Fulham vs Manchester United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Craven Cottage, London
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
King J.
50'
Castagne T.
63' Event
Martinez Li.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fulham
35%
Draws
32%
Manchester United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Manchester United have won more games recently than Fulham.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Fulham Clean Sheet 14%
Manchester United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulham Manchester United
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs Manchester United
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Manchester United vs Fulham
3:2
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Fulham vs Manchester United
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 FA Cup
Manchester United vs Fulham
1:2
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Fulham vs Manchester United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Manchester United Compare

Top Goalscorer Cunha M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulham 35 / 100
Manchester United 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulham Manchester United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulham found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Manchester United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fulham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fulham VS Manchester United
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulham

(Home)
10 Oct
Ipswich
2 : 1
Fulham
20 Sept
Fulham
1 : 1
Manchester United
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3
Fulham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0
Fulham
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3
Crystal Palace
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Manchester United

(Away)
10 Oct
Manchester United
1 : 1
Tottenham
20 Sept
Fulham
1 : 1
Manchester United
16 Sept
Manchester United
2 : 3
Brighton
13 Sept
Manchester United
0 : 1
Manchester City
10 Sept
Manchester United
4 : 0
Sabah Baku
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 5 5 0 0 13:5 15
2 Arsenal 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
3 Brighton 6 4 1 1 18:5 13
4 Brentford 6 2 4 0 12:6 10
5 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 15:13 10
6 Leeds 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
7 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
8 Everton 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
9 Ipswich 6 3 0 3 9:12 9
10 Hull City 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
11 Newcastle Utd 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
12 Manchester United 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
13 Nottingham 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Aston Villa 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
16 Sunderland 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Bournemouth 6 0 3 3 7:13 3
18 Tottenham 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
19 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1:10 3
20 Fulham 6 0 2 4 6:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)