Sport Picks
Fulham vs Newcastle Utd
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Craven Cottage, London 
Match Events
20'
20'
Diop I.
46'
46'
Sub
Murphy J. In: Barnes H.
Out: Murphy J.
60'
60'
Sub
Kevin In: Cairney T.
Out: Kevin
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Fulham and Newcastle Utd finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fulham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fulham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fulham carry the better recent record into this one.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Fulham taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Fulham Clean Sheet 17%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fulham | Newcastle Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs Newcastle Utd
2:0
Dec 17, 2025 EFL Cup
Newcastle Utd vs Fulham
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Fulham
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Fulham
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs Newcastle Utd
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fulham Compare
Top Goalscorer Diop I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cairney T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Newcastle Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fulham 84 / 100
Newcastle Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fulham Newcastle Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fulham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Fulham scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Fulham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fulham VS Newcastle Utd
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fulham
(Home) 15 Aug
Fulham
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
12 Aug
Malaga
2 : 2 Fulham
07 Aug
Fulham
1 : 2 Crystal Palace
01 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 2 Fulham
28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Fulham
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Fulham
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
07 Aug
Fulham
1 : 2 Crystal Palace
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2 Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Utd
(Away) 16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Strasbourg
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
12 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 3 Everton
08 Aug
Valencia
1 : 2 Newcastle Utd
29 Jul
Bristol City
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Valencia
1 : 2 Newcastle Utd
29 Jul
Bristol City
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
25 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd
10 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
