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Gaadiidka vs Dekedda

Somalia Somalia

National league
Thu, Jul 30, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gaadiidka host Dekedda in the National league. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Gaadiidka at 2.75 goals for, 0.75 against; Dekedda at 2.38 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Dekedda slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 4, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.94 - 1.56) back Gaadiidka to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gaadiidka
33%
Draws
40%
Dekedda
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gaadiidka come out ahead of Dekedda on wins alone.
  • Dekedda are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 15%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaadiidka Dekedda
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Gaadiidka
0:0
May 25, 2025 National league
Gaadiidka vs Dekedda
2:3
Feb 10, 2025 National league
Dekedda vs Gaadiidka
4:0
Jun 1, 2024 National league
Dekedda vs Gaadiidka
2:2
Jan 31, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Dekedda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaadiidka 27 / 100
Dekedda 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaadiidka Dekedda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gaadiidka scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Gaadiidka remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Dekedda conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gaadiidka VS Dekedda
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaadiidka

(Home)
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
07 Jul
Heegan
1 : 2
Gaadiidka
29 Jun
Raadsan
0 : 6
Gaadiidka
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Dekedda

(Away)
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
06 Jul
Raadsan
3 : 6
Dekedda
30 Jun
Dekedda
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)