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Gaadiidka vs Elman

Somalia Somalia

National league
Gaadiidka Logo

Gaadiidka

1 - 0
FT
Elman Logo

Elman

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gaadiidka in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gaadiidka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gaadiidka
15%
Draws
27%
Elman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Elman haven't matched Gaadiidka's recent run of results.
  • Gaadiidka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 20%
Elman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaadiidka Elman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.2 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 National league
Elman vs Gaadiidka
0:2
May 12, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Elman
1:0
May 1, 2025 National league
Elman vs Gaadiidka
0:1
Jan 17, 2025 National league
Gaadiidka vs Elman
0:1
Jun 17, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Elman
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaadiidka 85 / 100
Elman 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaadiidka Elman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaadiidka scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Gaadiidka has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Elman let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Elman lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gaadiidka VS Elman
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaadiidka

(Home)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

Elman

(Away)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)