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Gaadiidka vs Gantaalaha Afgooye

Somalia Somalia

National league
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AI Match Summary

The National league game between Gaadiidka and Gantaalaha Afgooye finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Gaadiidka
15%
Draws
16%
Gantaalaha Afgooye
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gaadiidka come out ahead of Gantaalaha Afgooye on wins alone.
  • Gaadiidka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 20%
Gantaalaha Afgooye Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaadiidka Gantaalaha Afgooye
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 18 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 2.2 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.8 4.59
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Gantaalaha Afgooye
3:3
Apr 16, 2026 National league
Gantaalaha Afgooye vs Gaadiidka
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaadiidka 85 / 100
Gantaalaha Afgooye 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaadiidka Gantaalaha Afgooye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gaadiidka scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Gantaalaha Afgooye has conceded goals in 100% of their last 22 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Gaadiidka went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gaadiidka VS Gantaalaha Afgooye
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 4.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaadiidka

(Home)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
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Gantaalaha Afgooye

(Away)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)