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Gaadiidka vs Heegan Prediction & H2H Stats

Somalia Somalia

National league
Gaadiidka Logo

Gaadiidka

1 - 3
FT
Heegan Logo

Heegan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Gaadiidka and Heegan finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heegan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gaadiidka
15%
Draws
35%
Heegan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Gaadiidka haven't matched Heegan's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gaadiidka's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Heegan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 12%
Heegan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaadiidka Heegan
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 19
Draws 8 8
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 2.2 2.26
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Gaadiidka
1:2
Apr 28, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Heegan
1:3
Apr 21, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Gaadiidka
2:1
Jan 7, 2025 National league
Gaadiidka vs Heegan
0:1
Jun 8, 2024 National league
Heegan vs Gaadiidka
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaadiidka 83 / 100
Heegan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaadiidka Heegan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaadiidka found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Gaadiidka remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Heegan conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gaadiidka VS Heegan
2.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaadiidka

(Home)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

Heegan

(Away)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)