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Gaadiidka vs Horseed

Somalia Somalia

National league
Gaadiidka Logo

Gaadiidka

2 - 1
FT
Horseed Logo

Horseed

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gaadiidka in this National league matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gaadiidka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gaadiidka
30%
Draws
27%
Horseed
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gaadiidka lately — more wins on the board than Horseed.
  • Gaadiidka are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 19%
Horseed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaadiidka Horseed
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.2 2
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Gaadiidka
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Horseed
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 National league
Horseed vs Gaadiidka
3:0
Dec 9, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Horseed
0:2
Jul 26, 2024 National league
Horseed vs Gaadiidka
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaadiidka 76 / 100
Horseed 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaadiidka Horseed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaadiidka's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gaadiidka stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Horseed conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gaadiidka VS Horseed
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaadiidka

(Home)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

Horseed

(Away)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)